Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.015022 0.018615 0.023262 0.029887 0.039397 0.053095 0.075442
2025-02-09 0.010746 0.014609 0.020347 0.030050 0.047413 0.080677 0.161799
2025-02-16 0.008645 0.012440 0.018592 0.030284 0.054970 0.115322 0.339722
2025-02-23 0.007283 0.010911 0.017182 0.030220 0.061782 0.158499 0.744643
2025-03-02 0.006148 0.009460 0.015436 0.028664 0.064099 0.194703 1.511396
2025-03-09 0.005392 0.008496 0.014316 0.027973 0.068348 0.249587 4.036661
2025-03-16 0.004921 0.007945 0.013851 0.028605 0.077385 0.358176 27.085426
2025-03-23 0.004495 0.007403 0.013272 0.028727 0.085140 0.501265 7091.578433
2025-03-30 0.004035 0.006725 0.012267 0.027349 0.086067 0.604106 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003692 0.006231 0.011574 0.026638 0.089609 0.779851 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003493 0.005995 0.011418 0.027481 0.101976 1.275753 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003397 0.005956 0.011709 0.029880 0.127137 3.002050 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003267 0.005861 0.011938 0.032589 0.164468 12.454561 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003038 0.005527 0.011504 0.032781 0.185945 53.486987 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002842 0.005237 0.011127 0.033046 0.211266 1372.663962 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002659 0.004955 0.010711 0.032974 0.235302 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002448 0.004583 0.009983 0.031223 0.234323 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002289 0.004315 0.009506 0.030446 0.247102 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002187 0.004168 0.009352 0.031156 0.289734 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002080 0.003999 0.009102 0.031293 0.326732 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001943 0.003747 0.008567 0.029745 0.322464 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001836 0.003557 0.008195 0.028947 0.335506 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001776 0.003475 0.008144 0.029893 0.405773 NaN NaN